Sportsbetting: Lay the draw

At the first time we’ll show you the – probably – most popular one lay the draw strategy with a slight pessimistic feeling. The cause of that I used it a few years ago, but unfortunately I wasn’t succesful after 50-100 matches. Then I said I skip this strategy! During the past years I am getting more experienced and read a lot about the new features of the lay the draw so I said: Why not? Let’s do it again! I think most of you know the main essentials of the strategy, but it is always good to check it. So, in the original version you need to put a LAY betting on THE DRAW result at the beginning of the match. It means that you will win if the home or the guest team win the match, and lose if it will be a draw However we won’t wait until the end of the match, because after the first goal the odds of the draw will increase and we are able to cash-out at online casino canada. Or, this is it theoratically. If you speak in Hungarian, you can check our website as well. If not, you can visit it and check our beautiful pictures. Very fancy, quite new, we like it so much. If you do not speak Hungarian – do not start to learn the language, because it is very difficult. Just continue the video and enjoy it! I check all of the lay the draw versions one by one then I compare them with each other. At the end I try to the choose best one. So, the original version was when we put our first bet at the beginning, then we will cash-out after the first goal. Later on a bunch of smart people realised that it is better if we wait until the half-time to join the match. Then you put your money to lay the draw at the half-time. Finally, the most agressive startegy when you join the match during the second half, between the 60th and 75th minutes, but it is up to you, there is no rule about the perfect time of joining. Let’s start with the original strategy. The biggest fear here is the goalles draw, because you create a quite big liability with a high draw odds. So, if it is a goalless draw, you will lose a lot! Therefore, my main aim was to avoid 0-0 and it is achievable if you choose your matches smartly. Besides it, I tried the find matches where the draw odds was lower than 4.00. Then I could avoid the (very) high liability. In an ideal case, the favourite team scores the first goal, then we get our profit immediately. The rate of the profit depends on when they score the goal – the better the later goal. This case happened at the Bristol City – Huddersfield Town clash, where the favourite home team scored the first goal. We cashed-out, but it was around the 10% of our liability, which is pretty low. Just think it over, it means that with a similar profit you need to have winning bets from 11 of 12 matches, if you want to earn profit in long term. Now, we check another match what was not so ideal for us. We avoided the goalless draw at the Morton – Ross County match however the underdog (Morton) team scored the first goal You can see that they scored at the beginning of the second half, even it was pretty late, we couldn’t cash-out with a profit. What was the cause of it? The bettors and the market is waiting for a goal from the favourite team. Therefore the odds of the draw won’t be high immediately. If the result won’t be changed or the underdog scores another goal then we can cash-out with profit. However, if the fav team scores, then you are in a trouble, and there is a high possibilty that you lose your whole liability. Therefore, I cash-out every time when an underdog scores. I’ve played 20 matches with each strategy, so we can compare them. You can check them in one excel sheet, you can see it on the screen now or you can check the detailed version of it in an uploaded shared file. You can find the link in the description of the video. As I said, I tried to avoid the high draw odds and the 0-0 result at the first strategy. I was succesfull, so I get my profit as well. The fav team scored the first goal 15 times and I get average 0,1 unit profit (1 unit = liability) On the other hand, when the underdog teams scored, our profit was only 0,05 unit. We had losses two times, even we could avoid the goalless draws. Generally, I can recommend the Scandinavian football leagues for this strategy, because they are lack of 0-0 and you can get good odds at the market. If we check the result of the strategy and the experience of the gameplay, it is a big advantage that you will have a winning bet most of the time. If you can avoid 0-0 consistently, then you can make profit in a long term. Unfortunately, it will be a very low profit. Additionally, you need to spend a lot of time in one game, because often you need to stay in the match more than one half. We need to say, you won’t avoid the goalless draw forever, a 0-0 could hit your bank balance really hard due to the high liability. An update of the original strategy is when you join to the match at the half-time. At this period of the match, the draw odds is lower then your liability is lower and your profit is bigger. It will be less important who scores the goal, we will win even the favourite or the underdog scores, so our basic aim is to avoid the 0-0. Obviously, it is still better for us when the fav team scores the first goal then we have a highest profit with this startegy. Here is an example for that scenario between Ibiza and Melilla from the Spanish third tier. They had a lot of chances at the first half due to the statistics, but the odds of the draw was quite low. We didn’t need to wait too much until Ibiza could score the first goal of the match. Then I wait around a minute for the realistic draw odds. Our profit was almost 40% of the liability. It could have been even higher if Ibiza scores the goal later However, we needed to cash out, before the underdog team have a chance to equalise, because it would be terrible for us. The other – but still good – side of the formula when the underdog scores. So, it is a great advantage comparing the previous strategy that we do not need to worry who scores the first goal. The clash between Liefering – Lafnitz is a perfect prove of what I said. The gap between our accepted stake and the goal was only 10 seconds. So, the underdog scored, but we still get our profit! Even it wasn’t ideal for the strategy, we got the profit. Every other option (I mean a goal later from the underdog or a goal from the favourite team) – except goalless draw – estimated a higher profit than this 10%. But it means, if you put your stake at the half-time, doesn’t matter who scores the first goal, you will get a profit. Unfortunately, we couldn’t avoid all of the goalless draw during our 20 matches, but it’s not a big surprise. You could see, if any of the teams scores, we could cash-out with profit. Additionally, I didn’t limit my bets only to the Scandinavian leagues. Basically, I chose my matches after I checked the half-time statistics. I still got my profit, so it is was what you can do as well. You don’t need to insist to watch every matches. You can see that the main advantage of this strategy – comparing to the previous one – it doesn’t matter who scores the first goal. Additionally, we have a lower liability and higher profit. But for me it was more important that I had time to think about a match – whether I want to join to the betting or not. On the other side, the revenue is still low the average was around 0,3 unit. It means that you need to avoid the goalless draw of 4/5 matches to reach a profit in long term. For me, it was a more playable startegy than the previous one, but you need to choose your matches very carefully. Third and the last tactic when we put our lay stake to the draw during the second half. They do not have too much time to score, but we have a really good prize if one of the team is able to score. So, let’s check the strategy when the favourite team scores first. Moreirense – Aves match from Portugal is a good example, where the home team was the fav of the clash. I chose this match because either of the team played 0-0 this season (it was 12-13th round) and they had a bunch of chances as you can see it at the statistics. We need to wait 15 minutes for the goal, after that our profit was over 0,5 unit and it is totally acceptable within 15 minutes. The other scenario when the underdog scores, Spanish second division Granada – Albacete We join during the second half when we see that both teams had a lot of chances already and the odds is pretty good. We do not need to wait too much for the goal what the underdog team scores. We cashed-out immediately after the goal and it is around 30% of our previous liability. We waited just 5 minutes for it, so you can see that even the underdog scores a fast goal, we could get a pretty high profit compare to the previous strategies. Lay the draw during the second half is the most agressive one from these three. I mean we will have a quite lot of 0-0 and the highest profits from 1-1 bets. You can see, that I was pretty unsuccesful. I had 7 goalless draw from 20 matches and I couldn’t get enough profit from the rest of the matches. Additionally, I had problems where to join to the match. I tried to check the statistics, but after a while, I realised that it is not enough for this strategy. If you want to make profit with this tactic, you need to watch the match, at least from the half-time. You need to watch, then you can decide to put a bet or just leave. The advantages of the strategy are the high profit from one match low liability and the fast process (you do no need to spend too much time on the market). On the other hand, the teams have lack of time to score and it will generate a lot of unsuccessful bets. During this 60+ matches I asked a question from myself If we are waiting for goals, why don’t we play on the over 0,5 market? Sometimes it was really frustrated that I needed to watch the odds for a whole match and waiting for the first goal, then cash-out immmediately. Additionally, there were a very few matches, when a team scored the equaliser before I was able to cash-out. Therefore I started to write down the 0,5 over odds at the same time, when I got on accepted bet on the 1X2 market. At the beginning I thought it will be a lower profit, but I was wrong. If we check the strategies result, we can see that only the first (original) one was more profitable than the over 0,5. You can see the differences for every matches, so you can decide which one (LtD vs. Over) is the better. For me, the strategy of the over was better. My biggest reason is that I just needed to put a stake once, then I can leave the match (physically). For me it is a big advantage for long term.